跳到主内容
@wquguru
精选75CNBC(YouTube)股市

探访SK海力士:全球最大AI内存扩建现场

Inside SK Hynix: We Went To Korea To See The World's Biggest AI Memory Buildout

原文
发到 X

Memory is in the midst of an unprecedented moment, and it's led us to Korea to see this, the largest memory build out in the world by SK Hynix, which makes the majority of the world's high-bandwidth memory chips for AI inside their clean rooms where no media has ever set foot until now. In this place, HBM is assembled. This secretive Korean memory king is also the hottest new entrant to the U.S. Market, following a blockbuster Nasdaq debut in July.

内存正处于前所未有的时刻,这让我们来到韩国,看到这个——SK海力士在全球最大的内存扩建项目,该公司在全球无尘室内制造了世界上大多数用于AI的高带宽内存芯片,而此前从未有媒体踏足此地。在这里,HBM被组装。这家神秘的韩国内存巨头也是美国市场最炙手可热的新进入者,紧随7月在纳斯达克轰动一时的首次公开募股之后。

It was the biggest foreign listing on the Nasdaq ever at $26 billion, and the appetite was insane. Demand for these tiny stacks of memory to enable AI has created such scarcity that the world's most valuable companies like Nvidia and Apple are scrambling to sign long-term contracts because what's long been considered a low margin commodity is now sending consumer electronics prices soaring. It's like a war. Everybody wants the memory chips.

这是纳斯达克有史以来最大的外国上市,融资260亿美元,市场需求疯狂。对用于AI的这些小内存堆栈的需求造成了如此大的稀缺性,以至于像英伟达和苹果这样全球最有价值的公司都在争相签订长期合同,因为长期以来被视为低利润率的商品现在正导致消费电子价格飙升。这就像一场战争。每个人都想要内存芯片。

Without that, they cannot produce it, their AI computing and AI chips. SK Hynix's answer, build like never before. $720 billion to triple capacity by 2034. But memory is a classic boom and bust industry. So what happens to all this investment and investor faith if it all goes bust? We cannot avoid a cycle. It's coming, especially against China. We flew to South Korea to visit for SK Hynix sites and see its massive operation there.

没有它,他们无法生产AI计算和AI芯片。SK海力士的答案是前所未有的建设。投资7200亿美元,到2034年将产能提高两倍。但内存是一个典型的繁荣与萧条行业。那么,如果这一切崩溃,所有这些投资和投资者的信心会怎样?我们无法避免周期。它即将到来,尤其是针对中国。我们飞往韩国参观SK海力士的工厂,并目睹其在那里的大规模运营。

We decided to accelerate our timeline. This is a never before seen look inside the highly secured company from the largest factory being built in Korea to gowning up for an inside view of a clean room where memory is made to SK Hynix first ever U.S. facility coming in Indiana, plus a rare chance to sit down with the company's top executive and technology leads to ask about the huge risks they're taking in hopes that AI has changed the memory business for good.

我们决定加快进度。这是对这家高度安全公司的前所未见的内部探访,从韩国正在建造的最大工厂,到穿上防护服进入制造内存的无尘室内部,再到SK海力士在美国印第安纳州的首家工厂,以及难得的机会与公司高层主管和技术负责人坐下来,询问他们为了希望AI能永久改变内存业务而承担的巨大风险。

Started as Sunkyong Textile Company as the Korean War was ending by the uncle of now Chairman Chey Tae-won, SK Group diversified from polyester to petroleum to telecommunications. It narrowly escaped the Asian financial crisis of 1997. As chairman Chey took over and set his sights on chips. I made a very risky bet at that time. In 2012, SK Group spent $3 billion for Hynix Semiconductor, a product of Hyundai's and LG's chip divisions, creating SK Hynix.

SK集团始于朝鲜战争即将结束时,由现任董事长崔泰源的叔叔创立的鲜京织物公司,从聚酯纤维扩展到石油、电信。它侥幸躲过了1997年的亚洲金融危机。随着董事长崔泰源接手并将目光投向芯片。我当时做了一个非常冒险的赌注。2012年,SK集团斥资30亿美元收购了现代和LG芯片部门合并而成的海力士半导体,创建了SK海力士。

The next year, it unveiled the world's first high-bandwidth memory. Myeong-jae Park joined in 2014 and now leads HBM design. SK Hynix is the pioneer that created the first HBM. At that moment, there was no application or devices that needed that. But we had strong conviction. By 2015, SK Hynix sold the world's first commercial HBM on AMD's Radeon graphics cards. When Bitcoin miners started snatching up so many gaming GPUs around 2017, SK Hynix finally started seeing returns on its bet.

第二年,它推出了全球首款高带宽内存。Myeong-jae Park于2014年加入,现在负责HBM设计。SK海力士是创造首款HBM的先驱。当时,没有任何应用或设备需要它。但我们有坚定的信念。到2015年,SK海力士在AMD的Radeon显卡上销售了全球首款商用HBM。当比特币矿工在2017年左右开始抢购大量游戏GPU时,SK海力士终于开始看到其赌注的回报。

So did the company's top rival, Samsung, also based in Korea. Samsung started HBM production later in 2015 and became Nvidia's original supplier the next year. But as the AI era kicked off with ChatGPT in 2022, SK Hynix was first to make HBM3 and Nvidia made the switch. SK Hynix remains Nvidia's primary HBM supplier today. We're here at SK Group's headquarters in Seoul. It's actually made up of more than 100 subsidiaries, and Chairman Chey Tae-won told me that SK Hynix is now its biggest asset.

该公司的主要竞争对手,同样位于韩国的三星,也是如此。三星在2015年晚些时候开始生产HBM,并于次年成为英伟达的原始供应商。但随着2022年ChatGPT开启AI时代,SK海力士率先制造出HBM3,英伟达转而采用。如今,SK海力士仍然是英伟达的主要HBM供应商。我们现在在首尔的SK集团总部。它实际上由100多家子公司组成,董事长崔泰源告诉我,SK海力士现在是其最大的资产。

Now, SK Hynix is the market share leader in HBM, and it briefly dethroned Samsung in June as South Korea's most valuable company, although it's now back in the number two spot. American investors scrambled to get shares popping the stock 13% on its first day of U.S. trading. The listing in the U.S. stock market is our dream come true. If it doesn't crash hard because the sustained demand about ten years into the future exists, these memory companies are going to be some of the cheapest valuations today, and they're going to have some of the biggest opportunities to rake in profits for the next decade.

现在,SK海力士是HBM市场的领导者,并在6月短暂超越三星成为韩国最有价值的公司,尽管现在又回到了第二位。美国投资者争相买入股票,使其在美国交易首日股价飙升13%。在美国股市上市是我们的梦想成真。如果未来十年持续需求存在且不会大幅崩盘,这些内存公司今天的估值将是最低的,并且它们将在未来十年拥有最大的盈利机会。

High bonuses and stock options have sent SK Hynix employees to the top of Korea's highly competitive marriage market. That's a pick up line in the bar, hey yeah I work at SK Hynix. It's created generational wealth, but of course you can also lose it if it goes the wrong way. Indeed, those gains have largely disappeared amid chaos in chip stocks and the Korean market as a whole, a situation that now impacts U.S. investors, too.

高额奖金和股票期权使SK海力士员工在韩国竞争激烈的婚姻市场上位居前列。那是在酒吧里的搭讪语,嘿,我在SK海力士工作。这创造了代际财富,但当然,如果方向不对,你也可能失去它。事实上,在芯片股和整个韩国市场的动荡中,这些收益已基本消失,这种情况现在也影响了美国投资者。

It's one of the most volatile markets out there. The index swings like a single stock, AI stock on the in the U.S. It's in this volatile moment that the company is undergoing its biggest buildout in history. Roughly equivalent to 600 soccer fields. We plan to build four fabs, including the first fab featuring six clean rooms. We're standing in the middle of what's going to be the largest memory fab in the world. It's called the Yongin cluster. 45 million square feet.

这是最波动的市场之一。指数像单只股票一样波动,就像美国的AI股票。正是在这个动荡的时刻,该公司正在进行其历史上最大规模的扩建。大约相当于600个足球场。我们计划建造四座晶圆厂,包括第一座拥有六个洁净室的晶圆厂。我们正站在未来将成为全球最大内存晶圆厂的地方。它被称为龙仁集群。4500万平方英尺。

Construction began in 2023, and the first of these four fabs is scheduled to open here in February. The whole complex will cost around $400 billion. What's different about this fab from others I've seen is that it's stacked up instead of sprawling out, because the mountains all around us had to be flattened to make room for the big plans in the limited space available. South Korea is small, and some 70% of it is covered in mountains, leaving little room left to build.

建设始于2023年,这四座晶圆厂中的第一座计划于今年2月在此投产。整个综合体将耗资约4000亿美元。与我见过的其他晶圆厂不同,这座晶圆厂是向上堆叠而非横向铺开,因为周围的山脉必须被夷平,以便在有限的可用空间内为宏大计划腾出地方。韩国面积不大,且约70%的国土被山脉覆盖,可用于建设的空间所剩无几。

This huge area was a mountain. The Korean government has a chip support package now worth up to $22 billion that's been helping SK Hynix with infrastructure needs at Yongin, like flattening those mountains. It's part of a larger plan unveiled by the South Korean government in June to double the country's memory production in five years. It includes multiple new mega fabs from Samsung, some of which we saw being built at its Pyeongtaek campus and a future SK Hynix cluster planned in the southwest of the country.

这片巨大的区域曾是一座山。韩国政府现在有一个价值高达220亿美元的芯片支持计划,一直在帮助SK海力士解决龙仁的基础设施需求,比如夷平那些山脉。这是韩国政府6月公布的更大计划的一部分,该计划旨在五年内将韩国的内存产量翻一番。其中包括三星的多座新的超级晶圆厂,我们在其平泽园区看到了一些正在建设的工厂,以及计划在韩国西南部建设的未来SK海力士集群。

We hear that all the hotels nearby the Pyeongtaek and this SK is fully booked. If you name any company in the Big Tech, they are all in Korea to sign a contract. Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, Nvidia or AMD. Everybody is coming. Now the Korean president is urging speed. It's urgent because Big Tech companies are aggressively courting SK Hynix and rivals in a rush to secure supply. AMD's Lisa Su and Nvidia's Jensen Huang both held memory meetings in Korea in recent months.

我们听说平泽和SK附近的所有酒店都已订满。如果你说出任何一家大型科技公司的名字,他们都在韩国签合同。微软、Meta、亚马逊、英伟达或AMD。每个人都在来。现在韩国总统敦促加快速度。这很紧迫,因为大型科技公司正积极争取SK海力士及其竞争对手,急于确保供应。AMD的苏姿丰和英伟达的黄仁勋近几个月都在韩国举行了内存会议。

We drank beer and Korean soju together. Huang signed this SK Hynix wafer with a clear message: please make more. That's Jensen's. Yes. Is he one of your friends? And who are some of your other friends in the AI world? Microsoft's Satya and Google's Sundar and well, Mark from Meta and they are my friend and well, I occasionally meet them. Memory is why Amazon just upped its 2026 CapEx estimate from $200 billion to $220 billion, and at Apple, the memory crunch contributed to weak guidance and rising iPad and MacBook prices.

我们一起喝了啤酒和韩国烧酒。黄仁勋在这片SK海力士晶圆上签了名,并附上明确信息:请多生产。那是黄仁勋的。是的。他是你的朋友之一吗?在AI领域你还有哪些其他朋友?微软的萨蒂亚、谷歌的桑达尔,还有Meta的马克,他们都是我的朋友,我偶尔会见到他们。内存正是亚马逊将其2026年资本支出预估从2000亿美元上调至2200亿美元的原因,而在苹果,内存短缺导致了疲软的业绩指引以及iPad和MacBook价格上涨。

The price of the chip is too high, and even Apple, they have to raise it, the price. And that actually increased all the prices to the society. So that's not really good. So I don't want that. Prices and scarcity are so bad that it's fueled the success of new chip entrants like D-Matrix, Groq and Cerebras that take a totally different approach that reduces reliance on DRAM that's in shortest supply. Cerebras had a blockbuster IPO in May, while Groq was acquired by Nvidia in December.

芯片价格太高,连苹果也不得不提价。这实际上推高了整个社会的所有价格。所以这不太好。我不希望这样。价格和短缺问题如此严重,以至于催生了像D-Matrix、Groq和Cerebras这样的新芯片进入者的成功,它们采用完全不同的方法,减少了对供应最紧张的DRAM的依赖。Cerebras在5月进行了轰动一时的IPO,而Groq在12月被英伟达收购。

Now, Nvidia is reportedly testing out lower memory versions of its next GPU, too. If these approaches work, it could reduce the appetite for HBM. Memory demand has not historically held up long, but SK Hynix says this time is different. To meet customer pressure that's at an all time high, construction here was sped way up. We are targeting completion of the fourth fab by 2033, 12 years ahead of our original schedule.

现在,据报道,英伟达也在测试其下一代GPU的低内存版本。如果这些方法奏效,可能会减少对HBM的需求。历史上,内存需求并未持续高涨,但SK海力士表示这次情况不同。为了应对前所未有的客户压力,这里的建设速度大大加快。我们的目标是在2033年前完成第四座工厂,比原计划提前了12年。

To understand why there's such a rush, let's talk about what SK Hynix makes and how it happens. High-bandwidth memory, HBM, is the type of memory where SK Hynix dominates, selling the majority of the world's supply. HBM is made from stacks of DRAM, short-term memory chips, enabling rapid data access so processors can execute

要理解为何如此匆忙,让我们谈谈SK海力士生产什么以及如何生产。高带宽内存(HBM)是SK海力士主导的内存类型,供应全球大部分市场。HBM由DRAM(短期存储芯片)堆叠而成,能够实现快速数据访问,使处理器能够执行

原文超出正文长度上限,此处截断——上游还有内容,完整版见上方「原文 ↗」。

更进一步:量化金融体系

看懂新闻只是起点——沿量化金融路径,把它变成能交付的工程能力

进入量化体系 →

关联讨论

同一事件的更多信源

相似阅读

另一事件,读法相近