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欧洲警告俄罗斯混合攻击升级,美国长期借贷成本飙升

Russia Eyes Europe Sabotage, US Borrowing Costs Surge, Stock-Shy Europeans | Bloomberg Daybreak:...

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宏观投资者应关注美国长期国债收益率升至金融危机以来高位,以及日本央行可能加息带来的全球利率环境变化;同时欧洲地缘风险升级值得留意。

[music] Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio, news. This is the Bloomberg Daybreak Europe podcast. Good morning. [music] It's Thursday, the 13th of August. I'm Steven Carroll in London. Coming up today, European officials warn Russia may step up hybrid attacks as Germany strengthens its intelligence powers. US long-term debt costs climb to levels not seen since the global financial crisis. Plus, cashri and stock shy, we look at efforts to persuade Europe's cautious savers to embrace investing and help finance growth across the continent.

[音乐] 彭博音频工作室,播客、广播、新闻。这里是彭博欧洲黎明播客。早上好。[音乐] 今天是8月13日,星期四。我是伦敦的史蒂文·卡罗尔。今天的内容有:欧洲官员警告俄罗斯可能加强混合攻击,而德国正在增强其情报权力。美国长期债务成本攀升至全球金融危机以来的最高水平。此外,现金充裕但股票匮乏,我们关注说服欧洲谨慎的储户拥抱投资并帮助资助整个欧洲大陆增长的努力。

Let's start with a roundup of our top stories. Intelligence officials are warning of a potential escalation in Russia's shadow war against NATO countries in Europe. It's been seen as another step in Moscow's campaign to intimidate countries that are supporting Ukraine. Bloomberg Zwen Pots has more. Russian intelligence and security services are said to be considering operations including infrastructure sabotage or false flag attacks on countries in central and eastern Europe.

让我们从头条新闻综述开始。情报官员警告称,俄罗斯针对欧洲北约国家的影子战争可能升级。这被视为莫斯科恐吓支持乌克兰的国家的又一举措。彭博社的兹温·波茨有更多报道。据说俄罗斯情报和安全部门正在考虑包括基础设施破坏或对中欧和东欧国家进行假旗攻击在内的行动。

That's the warning from a European intelligence official who spoken to Bloomberg. But officials say there are no signs Moscow is preparing a conventional attack or invasion. They say Russia could instead be trying to seow fear by making Europe believe an escalation is coming. In London, I'm Euan Pots, Bloomberg radio. The threat of hybrid attacks comes as Germany warns of a Russia linked influence campaign ahead of regional elections in the country next month.

这是与彭博社交谈的一位欧洲情报官员发出的警告。但官员们表示,没有迹象表明莫斯科正在准备常规攻击或入侵。他们说,俄罗斯反而可能试图通过让欧洲相信升级即将到来而散布恐惧。在伦敦,我是彭博广播的尤安·波茨。混合攻击的威胁出现之际,德国警告在下个月该国地区选举前存在与俄罗斯有关的影响活动。

Chancellor Friedick Mercer's cabinet has also approved sweeping new powers, allowing German intelligence agencies to more actively disrupt foreign threats. The Chancellor's Chief of Staff, Nina Warkin, says Germany is constantly being targeted by hybrid attacks. the democrat.

总理弗里德里克·默瑟的内阁也批准了广泛的新权力,允许德国情报机构更积极地破坏外国威胁。总理的幕僚长尼娜·瓦尔金表示,德国不断受到混合攻击的目标。

Our country and our democracy are threatened to an extent we could not have imagined until recently. Germany is now constantly the target of hybrid attacks by foreign powers. And this is a real and very acute danger. It is a threat to our free society, our understanding of values, our security, and thus precisely what constitutes the foundation of our country. So far, it must be objectively noted we have relied too much on our partners to ensure our security in many security relevant areas.

我们的国家和民主受到威胁的程度是我们直到最近都无法想象的。德国现在不断成为外国势力混合攻击的目标。这是一个真实且非常严重的危险。它威胁到我们的自由社会、我们的价值观理解、我们的安全,因此正是构成我们国家基础的东西。到目前为止,必须客观地指出,在许多安全相关领域,我们过于依赖我们的伙伴来确保我们的安全。

Nina Warkham was speaking as Germany's domestic security agency said the Russell linked campaign is using AI generated content and dummy social media accounts to deepen social division and undermine trust and democracy. Interior Minister Alexander Dober says the security threat requires a new era for German intelligence services. Indeed, a new era is beginning for the intelligence services. Ladies and gentlemen, we are facing a new threat.

尼娜·沃克姆发表此番言论之际,德国国内安全机构表示,与罗素有关的活动利用人工智能生成内容和虚假社交媒体账号来加深社会分裂,破坏对民主的信任。内政部长亚历山大·多贝尔表示,安全威胁要求德国情报机构进入新时代。确实,情报机构正在迎来一个新时代。女士们先生们,我们正面临新的威胁。

We are confronted with a serious threat situation on a daily basis. We are daily targets of hybrid warfare. We are daily targets of espionage, sabotage, cyber attacks, and covert actions by foreign powers aiming to destabilize Germany, to harm our country, and to bring about political and social changes within our nation. That's Alexander Doin speaking through a translator. Under draft legislation seen by Bloomberg, Germany's intelligence agencies would be given new powers, including the ability to hack IT infrastructure during a cyber attack and access telecommunications and digital services systems.

我们每天都面临严重的威胁局势。我们每天都面临混合战争的攻击。我们每天都面临间谍活动、破坏、网络攻击以及外国势力的秘密行动,这些行动旨在破坏德国的稳定,损害我们的国家,并在我们国内引发政治和社会变革。这是亚历山大·多贝尔通过翻译发表的讲话。根据彭博社看到的立法草案,德国情报机构将被赋予新的权力,包括在网络攻击期间入侵IT基础设施以及访问电信和数字服务系统的能力。

US government borrowing costs at auction have climbed to their highest level since the global financial crisis as investors demand better returns for buying its debt. Sale of benchmark 10-year treasuries yesterday produced the highest yield since 2007, though demand held up reasonably well. Attention now turns to today's 30-year Treasury auction, which is expected to carry the highest financing rate in 25 years. Persistent inflation and swelling budget deficits are adding to the pressure alongside rising oil prices and competition from corporate debt sales.

美国政府借款成本在拍卖中已攀升至全球金融危机以来的最高水平,因为投资者要求更高的回报来购买其债务。昨日基准10年期国债的拍卖产生了自2007年以来的最高收益率,尽管需求保持得相当不错。现在注意力转向今天的30年期国债拍卖,预计将出现25年来的最高融资利率。持续的通胀和不断膨胀的预算赤字,加上油价上涨和企业债务销售的竞争,正在增加压力。

Japan's government is backing the prospect of another Bank of Japan interest rate hike in the coming months. Bloomberg understands the next move is likely in September or October as officials seek to counter persistent weakness in the yen. The currency's decline is adding to inflation and squeezing households while the impact of the recent joint US Japan intervention is already fading. Another increase would mark the BOJ's fastest pace of tightening in a 12-month period since 1989.

日本政府支持日本央行在未来几个月内再次加息的可能性。彭博社了解到,下一次加息可能在9月或10月,因为官员们寻求应对日元持续疲软。日元贬值加剧了通胀并挤压了家庭,而近期美日联合干预的影响已经在消退。再次加息将标志着日本央行自1989年以来12个月内最快的紧缩步伐。

US President Donald Trump is reverting to economic sanctions on Iran. The approach, dubbed maximum pressure, comes as analysts question whether the measures will spark meaningful political change. Bloomberg's Tyler Kendall says we're a long way from a resolution. It's very evident that both sides are trying to dig into their positions when it comes to the straight of Hermuz. But there's very little sign that Iran is going to give up the leverage it has when it comes to the waterway.

美国总统唐纳德·特朗普正在恢复对伊朗的经济制裁。这种被称为“极限施压”的做法,是在分析人士质疑这些措施是否会引发重大政治变革之际出台的。彭博社的泰勒·肯德尔表示,距离问题的解决还有很长的路要走。很明显,双方在霍尔木兹海峡问题上都在试图坚守各自的立场。但几乎没有迹象表明伊朗会放弃其在航道问题上所拥有的筹码。

Not just in terms of its grip on shipping in Hermuz, but also importantly, we should point out the other disruptions to global shipping. As earlier today, Yemen's government confirmed that at least six people died in a Houthi attack in the Red Sea, marking the first such fatalities of a Houthi attack since this specific conflict has started. Our White House correspondent Tyler Kandall speaking there. President Trump's administration is relying on a steady increase in sanctions and a naval blockade to stifle oil exports. asked for comment on the new approach.

不仅是在霍尔木兹海峡对航运的控制方面,而且重要的是,我们还应该指出全球航运的其他干扰因素。正如今天早些时候,也门政府证实,至少六人在胡塞武装对红海的袭击中丧生,这是自这场特定冲突开始以来胡塞武装袭击首次造成此类死亡。我们的白宫记者泰勒·肯德尔在那里报道。特朗普政府正依靠逐步增加的制裁和海上封锁来扼杀伊朗的石油出口。就新做法征求意见。

A White House official said the strategy had left Iran completely broke and that Trump has many levers that he can pull in the coming months. Europe's fifth heat wave of the summer is set to peak today as temperatures continue to break records. Both London and Paris are expected to see temperatures of 37° C with the UK on track for its hottest ever summer. Prime Minister Andy Bernham has asked the public to help where they can.

一位白宫官员表示,该战略已使伊朗彻底破产,特朗普在未来几个月内还有许多手段可以动用。欧洲今夏第五波热浪预计将于今天达到顶峰,气温持续打破纪录。预计伦敦和巴黎的气温都将达到37摄氏度,英国有望迎来有史以来最热的夏天。首相安迪·伯纳姆已请求公众在力所能及的地方提供帮助。

We would ask people to check out the advice on the NHS app particularly about the importance of staying hydrated and the advice would be to check in on elderly friends and relatives uh who may need support at this particular moment in time. And Bernham's government is now openly talking of planning for annual summer pressures as the heat strains emergency services. London's ambulance crews have been fielding more calls than at the height of the CO 19 pandemic and private chat groups in China are reportedly selling gossip on which officials might be sacked next.

我们要求人们查看NHS应用程序上的建议,特别是关于保持水分的重要性,并建议在这个时候去探望那些可能需要支持的老年朋友和亲戚。伯纳姆政府现在公开谈论为每年的夏季压力做规划,因为高温给紧急服务带来了压力。伦敦救护车工作人员接到的电话比新冠疫情高峰期还要多,据报道,中国的私人聊天群正在出售关于哪些官员可能被解雇的八卦消息。

The story in a statebacked magazine comes as President Xi Jinping continues a sweeping anti-corruption crackdown. Bloomberg's Rebecca Chung Wilkins says it points to a demand generated in part by the political systems own secrecy. upwards of 900,000 cadres that were probed last year, nearly 200 of them right by C in central government with more senior officials. Plus, of course, when officials are probed, there is also typically an investigation that's linked to a variety of companies that may be also linked to that official as well.

在一家国有杂志刊登这篇报道之际,习近平主席正在继续开展一场全面的反腐败运动。彭博社的Rebecca Chung Wilkins表示,这指向了一种部分由政治体制自身保密性所引发的需求。去年有超过90万名干部受到调查,其中近200名是中央政府的高级官员。此外,当然,当官员受到调查时,通常还会涉及与各种公司的调查,这些公司可能与该官员有关联。

Chung Wilkins notes the crackdown comes as China heads towards its 5-year leadership congress with President Xi looking to secure a precedentdefying fourth term. Bloomberg News couldn't access the chat groups or independently verify the reports. Those are your top stories in the program. On the markets this morning, Euro stocks 50 futures up by 4/10en of 1%. The MSE oil country world index up by 210 of 1%. We do have global stocks close to record highs.

Chung Wilkins指出,这场运动正值中国即将召开五年一度的领导层大会,习近平主席寻求打破先例、获得第四个任期。彭博新闻无法访问这些聊天群组,也无法独立核实这些报道。以上是节目的头条新闻。今晨市场方面,欧洲斯托克50指数期货上涨0.4%。MSCI全球指数上涨0.2%。全球股市接近历史高位。

The MSE Irish Pacific index is up by 1.1%. The Cosby and Soul 4.2% higher now. Oil prices a little lower. Brent crude down by a tenth of 1% at $88.89. And the 10-year Treasury yield is down by two basis points at 4.68%. In a moment, we'll bring you more on those warnings of new threats from Russia. Plus, how can European savers be encouraged to invest in stocks and bonds instead? But another story that we've been reading this morning on China's micro dramas going global.

MSCI亚太指数上涨1.1%。韩国综合股价指数上涨4.2%。油价略有下跌。布伦特原油下跌0.1%,报每桶88.89美元。10年期美国国债收益率下跌2个基点,报4.68%。稍后,我们将为您带来更多关于俄罗斯新威胁警告的报道。此外,如何鼓励欧洲储户转而投资股票和债券?但今早我们读到的另一个故事是关于中国微短剧走向全球的。

Christopher Beam has been writing about this. If you're not familiar with the fo

Christopher Beam一直在撰写相关报道。如果您不熟悉这一现象……

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