亚洲市场等待美国CPI，AI财报强劲提振科技股

SHERY: THIS IS THE ASIA TRADE. I’M SHERY AHN IN TOKYO. TOP STORIES THIS HOUR -- ASIAN STOCKS POISED TO FOLLOW WALL STREET LOWER AS THERE ARE KEY U.S. INFLATION DATA. OIL WAIVERS ON MIXED DIPLOMATIC SIGNALS ABOUT THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ. A POSITIVE BILL FOR ASIAN TECH, WITH STRONG EARNINGS FROM CORE WEAVE AND SUPER MICRO, WHILE NVIDIA’S FINANCING PLAN. AND SOUTH KOREA PREPARING TO PUMP MORE THAN $700 MILLION INTO A NEW FUND TARGETING A.I.

AND OTHER STRATEGIC INDUSTRIES. WE HEAR EXCLUSIVELY FROM DEPUTY INNOVATION AND GROWTH MINISTER. HAIDI: TAKE A LOOK AT THE SETUP ACROSS ASIA AS WE HIT MID WEEK. WE DO HAVE REALLY THE PULLBACK OF RISK, AS EXPECTED, GIVEN THAT WE ARE EXPECTING THE KEY U.S. INFLATION PRINT ON THE BACK OF THE SURPRISING JOBS NUMBERS THAT CAME THROUGH AT THE END OF LAST WEEK, WHICH HAS SHAKEN UP SOME OF THE FED EXPECTATIONS. BUT WE ARE WATCHING THE SITUATION WHEN IT COMES TO GEOPOLITICS.

OIL MOSTLY HOLDING ON TO THE FOUR-DAY GAIN, TRADING HIGHER BY ALMOST 1.5%. CRUDE MODESTLY TO THE UPSIDE, STILL OVER THE $80 A BARREL LEVEL. TRADERS MONITORING EFFORTS TO REACH A DEAL THAT COULD HELP REOPEN THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ AND RESTORE THESE ENERGY FLOWS. WE’RE HEARING FROM THE DEFENSE MINISTER OF PAKISTAN, SAYING THAT WASHINGTON AND TEHRAN ARE CLOSE TO SOME AGREEMENT. WE’RE ALSO HEARING SOME ADVANCE PROGRESS WHEN IT COMES TO THE TALKS BETWEEN IRAN AND OMAN AS WELL.

BUT STILL QUITE A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY THERE. WHEN IT COMES TO BROADER EQUITIES, THIS IS THE PICTURE AS WE HAVE U.S. FUTURES, I SHOULD SAY THE LAST TRADE WHEN IT COMES TO U.S. STOCKS, OFF BY .3%. KOREAN FUTURES, WE’LL GET SOME UPSIDE FROM THE TECH HEADLINES THAT WE JUST WENT THROUGH PREVIOUSLY WITH SHERY, AND WE’RE WATCHING CHICAGO NIKKEI FUTURES THERE AS WELL. DOLLAR YEN AT THE 15950678927 LEVEL AS WE CONTINUE TO SEE THAT INCHING FORWARD TOWARDS 160 TO THE DOLLAR, RAISING, AGAIN, THESE NEW INTERVENTION CONCERNS.

SHERY: HAIDI, COREWEAVE AND SUPER MICRO SHARES SURGING DURING AFTER-HOURS TRADE AFTER BOTH COMPANIES RAISED SALES OUTLOOK, REINFORCING EXPECTATIONS THAT A.I. INFRASTRUCTURE SPENDING REMAINS ROBUST. LET’S GET MORE FROM OUR MANAGING EDITOR FOR U.S. TECH AND CYBERSECURITY. COREWEAVE IS NOT JUST ONE OF THOSE BELLWETHERS WHEN IT COMES TO THE NEO CLOUDS A.I. MODEL, BUT ALSO AT THE SAME TIME SOME OF THE CUSTOMER BASE, JUST GIANTS LIKE OPENAI, META, MICROSOFT, WHAT CAN WE TELL ABOUT THE BROADER A.I.

BOOM? LYNN: THAT’S EXACTLY RIGHT, SHERY, AND THANK YOU FOR HAVING ME. COREWEAVE IS NOT JUST A BELLWETHER FOR THE NEO CLOUDS, THESE A.I. CLOUD SUPPLIERS, IT REALLY IS A GAUGE OF HOW OVERALL A.I. COMPUTING DEMAND IS FARING. WHAT THE SALES OUTLOOK IS TELLING US, THE FACT THAT THEY SMASHED THOSE ESTIMATES AND FELL AT THE VERY TOP END OF THE RANGE REALLY THAT ANALYSTS WERE EXPECTING JUST GOES TO SHOW THAT THE A.I. DEMAND FOR CLOUD COMPUTING REMAINS STRONG.

NOT ONLY WERE THE SALES STRONG, THE BACKLOG THAT THEY GAVE, WHICH IS A VERY CLOSELY WATCHED MEASURE OF FUTURE SALES REACHED 04 BILLION AT THE END OF THE QUARTER, WHICH IS JUST INCREDIBLE FOR THIS COMPANY THAT ONLY WENT PUBLIC NOT TOO LONG AGO. SHERY: WE HAVE ALREADY HEARD FROM SUPER MICRO AS WELL JUST LAST MONTH, HOW THE BACKLOG WAS AT A RECORD. DID WE GET A SIMILAR A.I. STORY FROM THIS COMPANY AS WELL? LYNN: YES, IT WAS VERY SIMILAR.

THEY AREN’T IN THE SAME BUSINESS. SUPER MICRO MAKES SERVE THERE’S THE CHIPS GO INTO. COREWEAVE RENTS OUT OR PURCHASES OR LEASES THOSE SERVERS TO SELL BACK TO PEOPLE WHO NEED THE A.I. CLOUD COMPUTING. BUT SUPER MICRO’S RESULTS TELL A VERY SIMILAR STORY IN THAT THEY GAVE A SALES FORECAST FOR THE CURRENT QUARTER THAT TOPPED ANALYSTS’ ESTIMATES, AND THAT WAS YET ANOTHER SIGN OF BOOMING A.I. DEMAND. NOW, WHAT I THOUGHT WAS INTERESTING ABOUT SUPER MICRO WAS IT’S FUNNY, I SAID IT’S A TOSSUP TO HOW THE MARKET WILL REACT.

LAST MONTH, THEY ALREADY RELEASED PRELIMINARY RESULTS, RIGHT? THE MARKET WENT UP ABOUT 25% AS A RESULT OF THAT. SO I THOUGHT MAYBE IT’S ALL BAKED IN, AND THEY WON’T REACT, BUT THEY EXCEEDED EXPECTATIONS DESPITE THE PRELIMINARY RESULTS, AND WE’RE UP VERY MUCH IN EXTENDED TRADING TODAY AS WELL. SHERY: A BIG ONE IS COMING UP, NVIDIA’S EARNINGS. WHAT CAN WE EXPECT? LYNN: YEAH, SO NVIDIA REPORTS ON AUGUST 26. OF COURSE, THE BIG NEWS FROM LAST NIGHT GOING INTO THIS MORNING WAS THE FACT THAT THEY HAD TAPPED A BUNCH OF BIG WALL STREET NAMES, LIKE APOLLO AND BLACKROCK AND BLACKSTONE AND SAID, HEY, IF YOU’RE LOOKING FOR FINANCING FOR OUR CHIPS FOR A.I.

INFRASTRUCTURE, COME THROUGH US AND WE WILL HOOK YOU UP. THAT IS INDICATIVE OF WHAT NVIDIA IS TRYING TO DO, WHICH IS REENFORCE THE IDEA THAT A.I. DEMAND REMAINS STRONG THAT THIS IS NOT A HOUSE OF CARDS, THAT THIS IS NOT ARTIFICIALLY INFLATED DEMAND, THAT THE DEMAND IS REAL. SUPER MICRO AND COREWEAVE VERY MUCH BOLSTER THAT ARGUMENT. SHERY: WE HAVE HEARD SOME REPORTS ABOUT NVIDIA WANTING TO DEVELOP THIS OPEN SOURCE MODEL.

WHAT DO WE KNOW? LYNN: YOU KNOW, THERE WAS A REPORT OUT BY ANOTHER MEDIA OUTLET ABOUT THE FACT THAT IT REALLY IS PUTTING A LOT OF RESOURCES IN WORKING ON ADVANCING ITS OPEN SOURCE MODELS. THIS IS AN ONGOING EFFORT, AND QUITE HONESTLY, IT’S EXACTLY WHAT I WAS TALKING ABOUT JUST NOW, ABOUT HOW NVIDIA IS TRYING TO BUILD THIS ECOSYSTEM AND REINFORCE THE DEMAND FOR ITS PRODUCTS. WHAT BETTER WAY TO REINFORCE THE DEMAND FOR NVIDIA’S A.I.

CHIPS THAN TO PUT OUT A BUNCH OF OPEN SOURCE A.I. MODELS THAT FEED THE MARKET AND INCREASE DEMAND FOR CHIPS MUCH THAT’S THE END GAME HERE. IT’S NOT LIKE NVIDIA IS, YOU KNOW, STRIVING TO BE THE LEADING A.I. MODEL DEVELOPER OF THE WORLD, BUT HAVING A.I. MODELS OUT THERE ARE GOING TO INCREASE THE DEMAND FOR ITS HARDWARE. SHERY: LYNN DOAN THERE. HAIDI: ASIAN STOCKS, TRADERS ARE HOLDING BACK ON RISKY BETS AHEAD OF KEY U.S.

INFLATION DATA. LET’S LOOK AT THE OUTLOOK, BRING IN OUR STRATEGIST MARK CRA NFIELD. NOT SURPRISING WE’RE NOT SEEING RISK TAKING AT THIS POINT. MARK: YEAH, THE C.P.I. NUMBERS ARE HUGE AS FAR AS INVESTORS ARE CONCERNED. AS YOU’VE JUST BEEN HEARING, EVEN THOUGH COMPANIES LIKE COREWEAVE ARE PRODUCING GREAT RESULTS, BEATING ESTIMATES, THE SOX INDEX OVERNIGHT, THE PHILADELPHIA SOX INDEX ONLY ROSE BY A RELATIVELY SMALL AMOUNT.

THAT WOULD BE SOME ENCOURAGEMENT TO WHAT WE SEE LATER TODAY THAT MAY HELP KOREAN STOCKS GET OFF TO A GOOD START. BUT REALLY, IT’S ALL ABOUT THE INFLATION NUMBER. THE CORE C.P.I. NUMBERS STAY ON THE HIGH SIDE, THEN PEOPLE WILL EXPECT THE PRESSURE ON THE FEDERAL RESERVE TO GET EVEN GREATER AND POSSIBLY TO SEE AN INTEREST RATE INCREASE IN SEPTEMBER. THAT’S THE BIGGEST FACTOR REALLY IN THE NEAR TERM FOR MARKETS. IN SOME WAYS, IT’S EVEN MORE IMPORTANT THAN WHATEVER HAPPENS IN THE MIDDLE EAST.

WE MAY OR MAY NOT GET A DEAL TO REOPEN THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ. OIL PRICES WILL STAY RELATIVELY HIGH, BUT AT LEAST THEY’RE NOT UP TO 00 A BARREL JUST YET. SO THERE’S VOLATILITY AND SOME SWINGS IN THE OIL MARKET MAKING PEOPLE A LITTLE BIT NERVOUS, BUT BY FAR THE C.P.I. REPORT IS THE BIGGEST THING ON THE AGENDA FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF WEEKS. SO IF WE GET A REINFORCEMENT THAT THE FEDERAL RESERVE NEEDS TO DO SOMETHING AT THE SEPTEMBER MEETING, THAT WILL BE A VERY BIG SHAKEUP FOR MARKETS.

ON THE OTHER SIDE, THERE WILL BE A HUGE RELIEF IF WE GET INFLATION NUMBERS WHICH COME IN BELOW EXPECTATIONS, THE MARKET WILL BE MUCH HAPPIER ABOUT THAT, AND WE CAN PROBABLY SEE STOCKS START TO PERFORM MUCH BETTER. SO IT’S UNDERSTANDABLE, TRADERS DON’T WANT TO TAKE HUGE POSITIONS GOING INTO THAT NUMBER. YOU CAN SEE WHY THE CONCERNS ARE THERE, WHICHEVER WAY WE’RE GOING TO GET PRETTY HIGH VOLATILITY, EITHER POSITIVE OR NEGATIVE, ONCE THE NUMBERS DROP TONIGHT IN NEW YORK.

HAIDI: IT’S INTERESTING, WE’VE SEEN THESE EQUITY MARKETS PRETTY HAPPY TO IGNORE THE NEGATIVE, RIGHT, WHEN IT COMES TO THE ONGOING GEOPOLITICAL SITUATION. DO YOU THINK A DEAL ON THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ COULD HAVE UPSIDE THAT PERHAPS IS MORE MEANINGFUL? MARK: YEAH, CERTAINLY ANY PEACE DEAL WILL BE A RELIEF FOR MARKETS IN GENERAL. WE’VE SEEN EVERY TIME THERE’S A SUGGEST

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