Grindr CEO谈AI功能与裁员:工程效率提升2.5倍
Grindr CEO George Arison Talks Premium Membership Tier | Bloomberg Talks
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Well, shares of the LGBTQ dating app Grindr fell on Friday after the company's improved full-year revenue forecast still trailed the average analyst estimate. The company said it now expects full-year revenue to be about $540 million up from the $535 million and adjusted EBITDA about $232 million up from $227 million. It also said it expects to finish the year with quote meaningfully fewer employees than we had originally planned.
嗯,LGBTQ约会应用Grindr的股价在周五下跌,因为该公司上调后的全年营收预测仍低于分析师平均预期。该公司表示,目前预计全年营收约为5.4亿美元,高于此前的5.35亿美元,调整后EBITDA约为2.32亿美元,高于此前的2.27亿美元。该公司还表示,预计到年底,员工人数将“比我们最初计划的要少得多”。
We've got George Harrison with us, the CEO of Grindr. He joins us here in the Bloomberg Businessweek studio. Hey George, welcome back. Um, you're about 5 months into the debut of some of these new AI features, some of these new subscription tiers that you're testing out. Can you just update us on on how that's going?
我们请到了Grindr的首席执行官乔治·哈里森。他来到彭博商业周刊演播室。嘿,乔治,欢迎回来。嗯,你推出这些新的人工智能功能和新的订阅层级已经大约5个月了,你正在测试这些功能。你能给我们更新一下进展吗?
So, the tests are going really well. The product features are quite popular with users and they work really well. The product itself is very tested. We're now trying to figure out what the price should be. We've never launched anything at this price point before. Um, that's very premium focused. Small number of users will ever use this product. And so, we've been iterating on what's the best way to position the product and explain it to them.
测试进展非常顺利。产品功能很受用户欢迎,而且运行得很好。产品本身经过了充分测试。我们现在正在努力确定价格。我们以前从未在这个价位上推出过任何产品。嗯,这是非常高端的产品。只有少数用户会使用这个产品。所以,我们一直在反复调整,以确定如何最好地定位这个产品并向用户解释它。
What are you thinking about right now? We tested 80 bucks as the baseline price and that did very well.
你现在是怎么考虑的?我们测试了80美元作为基准价格,效果很好。
Annually?
每年?
Uh, no, monthly.
嗯,不,每月。
Monthly, wow.
每月,哇。
Yeah, which is 2x our previous highest price point. Um, we've tested prices all the way up to 375. Um, and there's a broad range of where it might land. We'll see.
是的,这是我们之前最高价格点的两倍。嗯,我们测试了高达375美元的价格。嗯,最终价格可能落在很大一个范围内。我们拭目以待。
That is extremely premium.
这非常高端。
Very premium. Tell me about the $80 though. What will that entail if I am paying $80 a month? What am I getting out of it?
非常高端。跟我说说80美元吧。如果我每月付80美元,那会包括什么?我能得到什么?
Grindr's premium or paid tiers have given you access to more people. You would see more people based on how much you pay. Extra gets you 500 people, unlimited gets you unlimited number of people. Mhm. This one gives you a lot more information about the people you see. So, on the profile, you have now AI-generated information about a person. We go through all your messages, and we create a short list of people you should be talking to, and summaries of all the conversations that you've had with them, which is like a short list of kind of your prime targets.
Grindr的高级或付费层级让你能接触到更多人。根据你支付的金额,你会看到更多人。Extra可以让你看到500人,Unlimited可以让你看到无限数量的人。嗯。这个功能会给你更多关于你所看到的人的信息。所以,在个人资料上,你现在可以看到关于一个人的AI生成信息。我们会浏览你所有的消息,并创建一个你应该联系的人的简短列表,以及你与他们所有对话的摘要,这就像一个你的主要目标的简短列表。
And then we also give you recommendations of people you should engage with based on what we know about you and we know about them. So, it's a very different set of features that we have previously.
然后,我们还会根据我们对你的了解和对他们的了解,给你推荐你应该接触的人。所以,这是我们之前所拥有的功能非常不同的一套功能。
Yeah, I'm I'm when you're testing out the different price points, what are you noticing about the way that that people are I don't know, the way that they're thinking about the stickiness of it or just how receptive they are to it. I mean, does it change based on location?
是的,当你在测试不同的价格点时,你注意到人们对于产品的粘性或者接受度有什么看法吗?我的意思是,这会因为地理位置而改变吗?
Well, this product is more sticky than other things we thought than we thought it would be, which is great. On the price point, obviously there's elasticity between higher the price, less people try it, but there is also some no elasticity at the at the top because some people just don't care. And I think that's kind of part of this like how many people do you want in the product versus how much revenue do you want to make from it in total.
嗯,这个产品比我们预想的要更有粘性,这很好。在价格点上,显然存在弹性,价格越高,尝试的人越少,但在高端也有一定的非弹性,因为有些人根本不在乎。我认为这在一定程度上取决于你想让多少人使用产品,以及你想从中获得多少总收入。
And for us, you know, we've said publicly this is going to be the driver of revenue growth in '27 and '28. And so, it's a balance of finding like what's the highest price point for the total number of users you want to be in the product.
对我们来说,你知道,我们公开说过这将是27年和28年收入增长的驱动力。所以,这需要在你想让多少用户使用产品的情况下,找到最高的价格点之间的平衡。
So, when you think about the user base and you dig into those individuals that'd be willing to pay that price, what demographics come up? Are we talking about younger users, older users? Where does it fall?
那么,当你考虑用户群并深入研究那些愿意支付这个价格的个人时,会出现哪些人口统计特征?我们说的是年轻用户还是年长用户?这落在哪里?
So, Grindr released some demographic data last during November. You know, 46% of our users are under 29, so in that kind of 18-29 age range in the US. And their pay rates are actually quite low. But we like keeping it that way because we want them to have a really awesome experience in the free product. And then as users age, their pay rates increase significantly and kind of peak at that, you know, 40-plus age cohort.
Grindr在去年11月发布了一些人口统计数据。你知道,我们46%的用户在29岁以下,所以在美国是18-29岁年龄段。他们的付费率其实很低。但我们喜欢保持这样,因为我们希望他们在免费产品中有很棒的体验。然后随着用户年龄增长,他们的付费率显著增加,并在40岁以上年龄段达到顶峰。
This product is very much targeted at the older user who wants
这个产品非常针对那些想要
more money.
更多钱的年长用户。
Yes, cuz [laughter] they have a lot more disposable income. Exactly.
是的,因为[笑声]他们有更多的可支配收入。没错。
I'm I'm curious about the way that that Gen Z is interacting with the app and the way that you've had to make changes to have Gen Z interact with the app.
我很好奇Z世代与应用的互动方式,以及你们为了让他们互动而不得不做出的改变。
We actually haven't changed anything specifically for Gen Z. We have tried to innovate a lot more in the app overall. My general view is that Gen Z actually is totally fine dating online. They just want products to be innovating and creating new features.
我们实际上没有专门为Z世代改变任何东西。我们尝试在整个应用中进行更多创新。我总的看法是,Z世代其实完全接受网上约会。他们只是希望产品不断创新并创造新功能。
In In what way though?
但在哪些方面呢?
So we added things like albums. We added saving all your messages so they don't get lost from phone to phone, which was a big deal on Grinder. We added ability to send pictures that disappear as soon as they arrive. Just a few examples of kind of what's happened. And I think people in a 46% of our users are under 30. That's not even like Gen Z is even bigger than that, but just that small cohort of Gen Zs you know, 50% of the product.
所以我们添加了相册等功能。我们增加了保存所有消息的功能,这样它们就不会在换手机时丢失,这在 Grinder 上是个大问题。我们增加了发送阅后即焚图片的功能。这只是发生的一些变化的几个例子。我认为我们 46% 的用户年龄在 30 岁以下。这甚至还不是全部,Z 世代占比更大,但仅这一小部分 Z 世代用户就占了产品的 50%。
So we have no issues with getting Gen Z onto the product. It's actually there's a ton of opportunity with the older user base to get them re-engaged with the product versus worrying about is Gen Z going to be coming to Grinder or not.
所以我们在吸引 Z 世代用户方面没有问题。实际上,对于年龄较大的用户群体,让他们重新参与产品有很多机会,而不是担心 Z 世代是否会来 Grinder。
So how are you thinking about AI? I mean, when when you think about AI, is it something that you believe can meaningfully improve the dating experience or do you think that too much AI will actually make that dating experience a little bit more less lifelike, I should say?
那么你如何看待人工智能?我的意思是,当你想到人工智能时,你认为它能显著改善约会体验,还是认为过多的人工智能实际上会让约会体验变得不那么真实,我该这么说吗?
Look, we are a product that aims to connect people digitally so they can then meet in person, right? So we don't want the in-person thing going anywhere. That's ultimately the core of what Grinder is about. That said, density is an issue for all gay people cuz outside of New York, you don't have enough people to really match with. And if we can do better matches in a broader geography and people are more willing to take a risk on meeting somebody further away because they know a lot more about what that person is about, then I think AI really helps.
听着,我们是一个旨在通过数字方式连接人们的产品,这样他们就可以在线下见面,对吧?所以我们不希望线下见面消失。这最终是 Grinder 的核心。话虽如此,密度对所有同性恋者来说都是一个问题,因为在纽约以外,你没有足够的人可以真正匹配。如果我们能在更广泛的地理区域内进行更好的匹配,并且人们更愿意冒险去见更远的人,因为他们更了解那个人,那么我认为人工智能确实有帮助。
So I think AI is going to be ultimately a big benefit to products like us. Obviously there'll be some growing pain along the way cuz you'll make mistakes and things will happen that people don't expect, but ultimately users get to decide this kind of stuff.
所以我认为人工智能最终将对像我们这样的产品带来巨大好处。显然,过程中会有一些成长的烦恼,因为你会犯错,会发生人们意想不到的事情,但最终用户来决定这类事情。
What about AI and coding? This is something you've talked a lot about. You've written a lot about it. You've communicated with investors a lot about it. The the thing that struck me in your most recent earnings report last week was your talk about head count and the way that you you said you're going to end this year with quote "meaningful fewer employees than we had originally planned." Give give us the numbers here, the details, and and why uh you're doing that.
那人工智能和编程呢?这是你经常谈论的话题。你写了很多关于这方面的内容。你也和投资者沟通了很多。在上周的最新财报中,让我印象深刻的是你关于员工人数的讨论,你说你将在今年年底以“比原计划少得多的员工”结束。给我们讲讲具体数字、细节,以及你为什么这样做。
Is it AI?
是因为人工智能吗?
Well, AI has been incredible for coding. We have increased our eng productivity by minimum 2.5x with a team only growing 15%. So, it's like an incredible change. Now, like I mean, I had an example that I got in my Slack this morning where an engineer saw a bug come in while he was walking his dog, told the Devon, which is one of the AI coding tools we used to, go look at the bug. Devon looked at the bug, replicated the bug, wrote the code to fix the bug, and sent the engineer a message saying, "Hey, it's ready to be checked in.
嗯,人工智能在编程方面简直不可思议。我们的工程效率至少提高了2.5倍,而团队只增长了15%。所以,这是一个巨大的变化。现在,我的意思是,今天早上我在Slack上看到一个例子,一位工程师在遛狗时看到出现了一个bug,他告诉Devon(我们使用的一种AI编码工具)去查看这个bug。Devon查看了bug,复现了bug,编写了修复代码,并给工程师发了一条消息说:“嘿,可以提交了。”
Do you want to go release it?" All while he was still walking the dog.
你想去发布它吗?”而这一切发生在他还在遛狗的时候。
And a human being was walking the dog, not a robot walking the dog as you were saying. That's the only part of this equation that's missing. Okay. So, does that mean fewer engineers?
而且遛狗的是人,不是像你说的机器人遛狗。这是这个过程中唯一缺少的部分。好的。那么,这是否意味着工程师会减少?
Well, I think we just need less people overall in in the company. So, we're going to we haven't fired anybody, but we're going to hire roughly 20 less engineers than we had a plan this year because we are getting so much productivity from the
嗯,我认为我们公司整体上需要更少的人。所以,我们还没有解雇任何人,但今年我们计划招聘的工程师将比原计划少大约20人,因为我们从AI中获得了如此高的生产力。
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