哈萨比斯撰文:AGI 堪比电与火,影响是工业革命10倍
Demis Hassabis has written a piece about AGI, and rarely has he sounded so optim…
AGI 领域最权威的怀疑论者突然转向乐观,这篇文章值得每位从业者细读,尤其是他对风险与监管的呼吁,可能影响行业走向。
Demis Hassabis has written a piece about AGI, and rarely has he sounded so optimistic. Read his article; the golden future of science lies ahead of us; we are on the threshold of the singularity:
"AGI cannot be compared to standard technological breakthroughs, not even ones as consequential as the internet or mobile - it is much more akin to the discovery of electricity or fire.
The magnitude of this technology’s impact will be unprecedented, perhaps 10x of the Industrial Revolution at 10x the speed."
He won the 2024 Nobel Prize in Chemistry for AlphaFold. He has spent years as the industry's designated sceptic, correcting inflated timelines and pushing back on the loudest AGI claims. He does not do hype. So when he writes that AGI is probably only a few short years away and that we are standing in the foothills of the singularity, that lands differently than the same sentence from a founder raising a round.
His case: AGI is closer to the discovery of electricity or fire than to the internet, with an impact he puts at 10x the Industrial Revolution at 10x the speed. The risks are already real in cybersecurity, with bio and nuclear threats plausibly next, and control over agentic, self-improving systems as the problem on the horizon. The cause he identifies is structural. A commercial and geopolitical race is pushing capability past our understanding of it. Thats the danger.
However: A Nobel laureate who built his career on peer review rather than demos is now asking for regulatory infrastructure he expects to need within a few years.
Incredible times ahead.
更进一步:量化金融体系
看懂新闻只是起点——沿量化金融路径,把它变成能交付的工程能力