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美联储鹰派转向对比特币意味着什么

Bitcoin Feels Fed’s Hawkish Pivot | Presented by CME Group

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The Federal Reserve held interest [music] rates steady for the fourth consecutive meeting, but what does the Fed's hawkish stance [music] mean for risk assets like Bitcoin? A hawkish Fed means the Federal Reserve is prioritizing [music] the fight against inflation by keeping rates high or by raising [music] them. For risk assets like Bitcoin, this is typically negative. Higher interest rates increase [music] the yield on safe assets like Treasury bonds, which draws capital away from non-yielding speculative [music] investments like cryptocurrency.

Higher for longer rates also means tighter financial conditions, and tighter conditions

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mean less capital chasing risk. Since Bitcoin sits at the far end of the risk curve, it may reflect that tightening first [music] and hardest. Think of it this way. When the risk-free rate stays elevated, holding a treasury that pays a real yield [music] gets more attractive relative to an asset that pays nothing and [music] that can be extremely volatile. A Fed dot plot that threatens hikes pushes that risk-free rate even higher, which is exactly [music] why Bitcoin broke down right after the Fed announcement and continues to be under pressure.

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