比特币死亡交叉再现：历史显示或接近周期底部

THE BITCOIN DEATH CROSS IS BACK.

And once again, everyone is reading it wrong.

The 50-week moving average just crossed below the 100-week moving average.

To most people, it looks like the end.

The skull. The doom signal. The confirmation that Bitcoin is dead.

But history says the opposite.

Every time this signal appeared, it landed near the cycle bottom — not the top.

2015. 2019. 2022. And now, 2026.

That’s because the death cross is not a leading signal.

It’s a lagging signal.

By the time it finally prints, most of the damage has already been done.

The fear feels fresh.

But the market usually made its move long before the chart confirmed it.

This is why most people sell late.

They see the death cross and think the crash is starting.

But in reality, the worst part of the crash may already be behind them.

Bitcoin doesn’t bottom when everyone feels safe.

It bottoms when the chart looks broken, the timeline is bearish, and nobody wants to believe the cycle can recover.

That is exactly why this signal matters.

Not because it predicts doom.

But because it usually appears when doom is already priced in.