高盛：AI Agent 代币用量2030年将增24倍

Goldman Sachs Research: "Token use by AI agents is expected to multiply 24 times by 2030"

AI agents are now creating the first serious cost test for the AI boom. As was reported this week, Uber and Microsoft are already rethinking expensive agent usage.

A chatbot may answer once, but an agent plans, calls tools, checks results, edits mistakes, and repeats the loop.

That loop can make one user request consume 10x, 50x, or even far more tokens than a normal answer.

Goldman’s bullish case is that monthly token use could reach 120 quadrillion by 2030, while inference cost per token keeps falling 60%-70% per year.

The fight is now between agent productivity and token waste.

Earlier this month, Microsoft began revoking developer access to Claude Code, with plans to move them to its in-house Copilot Command Line Interface tool by June 30. The company has framed this as consolidating teams around its own tools, but the timing at the fiscal year’s end hints it may also be about lowering costs.