比特币矿工离场难度下调，长期持有者占比创79%新高

We've lost it all. >> There's something very interesting happening right now with crypto. >> And we see this. It just passed in Illinois. People think it's just crypto, just like they think the billionaire tax is just billionaires. But anytime the government can take your private property after you've paid your taxes, bought something, and put it in your garage, we are done for. >> New data that affects you as a crypto investor, as well as Michael Sailor's response, what comes next in the collapse of his preferred stock. Click subscribe for one video per day keeping you informed on crypto. And as we talk about what's being called the most punitive tax on crypto ever, >> that is when the pilot bureau has unlimited capacity to tax and take and do what they want. >> Let's take stock at where we are today because the smart money 12 trillion Charles Schwab continues to sound the alarm. Listen to their analysis on why they believe the Bitcoin bottom is in. We'll talk about what they think, but then I want to give you some further analysis on what's actually real. >> We've been pretty consistent that we think the 60s is the low. This is the level that we uh found support at back in February and we recently bounced off that again. We did make an intraday low again, but again, the general level seems to be holding. The signal that we look for is the difficulty adjustment. This is a feature of the blockchain that as miners are entering the network to make sure that a block is mined on average every 10 minutes, it makes it more difficult to mine that block so that it doesn't get mined too soon. The same thing happens when miners are leaving the network. If prices are falling and miners are temporarily shutting down operations because it's not as profitable to mine, the difficulty adjustment becomes less difficult. And so what we've seen, >> so just to be clear, and Bitcoin OGs know this, is that Bitcoin's mining is self adjusting. So as more Bitcoin miners hop onto the network, it becomes harder to mine. Yet as if as less Bitcoin miners leave the network, it becomes easier to mine. This is self adjusting. What we're seeing today is Bitcoin become easier to mine because miners were forced to leave. When the price went down, it became less profitable. That happens every bull cycle. We can go back to this is 2021 into 2022, right?

Same thing happened. It got too expensive. It self- adjusted. Then the miners came back. We see this every cycle. So the end of 2017 in 2018, it became too difficult. Miners had to leave. The difficulty self adjusted and then the miners came back. So understanding this, what's the conclusion today from $12 trillion Charles Schwab?

>> Uh earlier this year there was a draw down from the peak of about 20% in uh network difficulty and we're back to these levels today. And so the thing that we really look for to confirm that the bottom is in is the first uh difficulty adjustment higher. So that will come in about 9 days from now and it's expected to increase. And so again, this is a lagging indicator, but it can often confirm that the bottom is in. >> So what's the truth and what's the conclusion we can take out of this?

Because this will affect you for those trading PERPS on exchange partner Kelshi. As you know, this is CFTC regulated. Kelchi was the first US company to offer per. And this is a way to trade on the price direction of an asset with no fixed end date. So, if you believe Bitcoin will go up, you're just not sure when, but you think over time Bitcoin is going to go up or down. As long as you're willing to fund the trade, you just have to be directionally right and you can make money whether the price goes up or down. Now, I took out some trades in my last video. I showed you what I'm doing, how to start trading PES as a beginner in 2026 in under 12 minutes. Link down below. Highly recommend. And we see right now that my Solana perpetual is down 6%, but I am shorting SHIB. I am shorting meme coins and I'm making money. The lower SHIB goes, I make money. Perpetuals are a way for you to make money even if the price goes down if you have conviction and it plays out. Check out my full walkthrough and anybody that signs up and trades $50 gets $25 immediately. Link down below. Sign up limited time offer. So that will come in about 9 days from now. >> So 9 days is going to be the key to understand are we still adjusting lower or is the bottom forming in difficulty adjustment like we've seen in other Bitcoin bottoms of the past. I will monitor this. Click subscribe to Altcoin Daily if you want an update on this in real time when it happens. And look at this. The good news is that Bitcoin remains above the 200E moving average. That's technically a bullish setup. Yet the line in the sand, this yellow line right here is where the most volume, this yellow line is right in the middle where the most volume trading has taken place. So the point is, let's readjust this. Wait for the readjustment. The point is, you see we bounced off it. That's our resistance level. The next few days will be the determiner. Will the buyers step up, step in, go higher, or will the sellers continue to be that resistance level?

We are at such a tight range. I will watch this and keep you updated. The Clarity Act update will be a big determiner. We just got an update from digital assets subcommittee chair who's Representative Johnson on the timeline and how tight we are with this Clarity Act. Let's assume for a moment that the Senate gets a product out that is agreeable to the House and it really will need to be agreeable to the House. Then the House will take that up within two weeks would be my guess. Now we're gone in August and in October it's an election year and so members in swing seats and both parties will want to be home in October. So that's why before August I mean on one hand you look at July and you think well why are we why do we does the end of the year feel so close if we're talking about the seventh month of the year and it is because the remainder of the year is just really difficult for us to get a lot done and we cannot count on the lame duck. We cannot count on the lame duck. There are too many things that everybody is counting on to get done in the lame duck. There are probably five big packages that people think will get done after the election. Maybe zero will get done, maybe one. most likely one and then as an outside possibility two. I think this is too important for us to leave toward the pile up at the end of the year. >> So again, clarity may not happen, but if it does happen, it needs to advance in July or else it's probably going to fail or get pushed. My prediction is if the Clarity Act passes, that will mark the macro bottom. If the Clarity Act fails, we could go lower, right?

Just going to be real with you. Now, there is good news and this is a continuation from what we mentioned what we mentioned in our video yesterday. Michael Sailor, my next plan will shock the world. Bitcoin yesterday, we showed you this. Half of all Bitcoin is now underwater. You know this, that's typically a bottoming signal. To add on to that, Bitcoin longterm holders hits a record 79%. Meaning K33 Research, which is a very prominent research firm, says long-term holders now control an all-time high of 79% of Bitcoin supply in circulation. While old coin reactivation has dropped to its lowest level since 2012, meaning less and less OGs are selling. They've stopped selling and sell pressure is drying up. combined with 79% of all Bitcoin supply that's now held by long-term holders. And if you haven't sold yet, if you haven't been shaken out of the market yet, there's a strong chance you're not selling anytime in the next few months. You're going to hold. Of course, one of the bigger monkeys on the crypto markets or Bitcoin community's back right now is Michael Sailor's preferred stock stretch. It it's lo it has lost its par. Supposed to be on par with $100. It