达摩达兰：AI若成功替代人类，市场达10-15万亿美元但令人恐惧

The $10-$15 trillion total addressable market for AI, if it is successful, is actually "terrifying".

• The famous "Dean of Valuation", Professor Aswath Damodaran, of NYU Stern School of Business.

The reason: AI as a tool is a much smaller market; AI as a replacement for human-jobs is where the giant market story comes from.

"The best-case scenario for AI, that $10 to $15 trillion market, will happen if ONLY it replaces people.

If AI is a tool, it’s going to be a much smaller market than if AI replaces people. So, the stories we’re telling about $10, $20 or $25 trillion markets are actually terrifying stories for the rest of the world.

Why? Because if that story comes true, half of all white-collar people are going to lose their jobs. And what are they going to do instead? Who’s going to come up with the income to buy the products and services?

If AI works as well as it’s supposed to and replaces people, how do we deal with that as a society? Because people lose their jobs. Not only do you lose your income, you lose your life’s meaning.."

Video from "Excess Returns" podcast (full video in quoted tweet, also link to their YT in comment)